Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Waterton Lakes.
Cold temps will persist this week. Be prepared with lots of layers and warm drinks. Plan to be out of the backcountry early as the days are still short.
Weather Forecast
Wednesday: Clear with west winds increasing after lunchtime to 80km at ridge top. Cold temps with a high of -20.
Thursday: Overcast and flurries, wind decreasing through the day. High -18.
Friday: Clearing light wind High -22.
Snowpack Summary
Moderate to strong winds have built windslabs up to 30 cm deep on top of 60-90 cm of unconsolidated storm snow. This overlies old windslabs 40-60 cm thick and facets above the Dec 4 crust. A 20-60 cm thick Nov MFcr complex completes the snowpack to ground. HS at TL is 130 - 180cm
Avalanche Summary
No new avalanches observed or reported this week. Thanks to everyone posting on the Mountain Information Network, keep up the great work.
Confidence
Due to the number and quality of field observations
Avalanche Problems
Wind Slabs
Moderate to Strong winds have formed windslabs in lees at all elevations
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, North West.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 2
Persistent Slabs
No avalanches observed on this layer this week, however with a large enough trigger this layer could produce results.
- If triggered the storm/wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible
Expected Size: 2 - 3.5
Loose Dry
Steep sheltered locations
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 2