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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 27th, 2022–Feb 28th, 2022
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Kananaskis.

Strong SW winds and a good pulse of new snow will increase the avalanche hazard. Be aware of changing conditions.

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

A SW flow will bring mild temps, windy conditions and 10 to 15cm of new snow by Monday afternoon. Freezing levels will climb to 1900m.

Tuesday and Wednesday will also be snowy. Models disagree, but the region should receive 20 to 40cm by Wednesday evening.

Avalanche Summary

Nothing new observed on Sunday, but a size 1.5 natural avalanche occurred off the SE corner of Little Tent Ridge on Saturday. This was a slab avalanche that ran into the valley floor and washed over some ski tracks. Forecasters also noted a couple of other size 1.5 wind slabs on east aspects in the past 48 hours.

Snowpack Summary

Strong SW winds have redistributed a large amount of snow over the past 36 hours. Wind slabs up to 20cm thick were found at treeline today, and forecasters suspect this is more widespread in the alpine. A thin sun crust was also observed on solar aspects. The previous storm snow, and now these fresh wind slabs, predominantly sit on the Feb 19 interface, which is sun crust on solar aspects and hard wind slab almost everywhere else. Unfortunately, this layer provides a good sliding surface and will likely become more reactive as the SW winds continue and the snowfall amounts add up early in the week.

Terrain and Travel

  • Avoid lee and cross-loaded slopes at and above treeline.
  • Be alert to conditions that change with elevation and wind exposure.
  • Wind slabs may be poorly bonded to the underlying crust.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Strong SW winds are creating extensive fresh wind slabs in Alpine and Treeline terrain. These slabs will become increasing reactive with the incoming snow and continues strong winds.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1.5 - 2.5