Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 22nd, 2011 9:14AM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada mpeter, Avalanche Canada

Summary

Confidence

Fair - Due to variable snopack conditions

Weather Forecast

Friday: Mixed skies, with southwesterly winds increasing to 30km/h through the day and highs of -6. Saturday & Sunday: Continued southwesterly flow with a mix of sun and cloud, and a possibility of localized flurries. Freezing levels may reach 1600m in the afternoons.

Avalanche Summary

In the heart of the range (with a deeper snowpack) explosive triggered avalanches have been observed in wind loaded ridgecrest features to size 2.5. Elsewhere, explosive and ski cutting have yielded limited results.

Snowpack Summary

There is about 20-30cm of recent storm snow sitting over the December 12 interface of surface hoar and facets. This new snow has been deposited into soft slabs on lee features in open terrain by the consistent winds. The interface between the new snow and older surfaces is gaining strength, but still remains within the threshold of human triggering where there is sufficient load/slab properties. Some areas have a sun crust in the alpine on steep south and west aspects. There is a rain crust that is buried between 40-55 cm in some areas that reaches up to about 2200 metres. Lower in the snowpack, the mid-layers are well-consolidated and strong. Near the base of the snowpack there are a few layers that have the potential to wake up with a really big storm or very heavy loads. These include a surface hoar layer from early November, a crust/facet combo from October and the interface on steep glaciated terrain with snow that did not melt over the summer.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Wind slabs are sliding easily on the recently buried surface hoar. Shifting winds have set up this problem on a variety of aspects, particularly north through south east.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 4

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs
Slab avalanches continue to be a concern on the December surface hoar/facet interface in northern parts of this region.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Dec 23rd, 2011 8:00AM