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Avalanche Forecast

Apr 10th, 2019–Apr 11th, 2019
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: South Columbia.

Wind slabs in alpine lee features may be reactive to human triggering. If the sun comes out the surface snow will quickly become moist and increase the likelihood of loose wet avalanches.

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with clear periods and isolated flurries / up to 5 cm snow accumulation / moderate to light northwest wind / freezing level 1000 mTHURSDAY: Mainly cloudy / light north wind / alpine high temperature -5 C / freezing level 1700 mFRIDAY: Mix of sun and cloud / light northeast wind / alpine high temperature -4 C / freezing level 1800 mSATURDAY: Cloudy / 5-15 cm snow accumulation / moderate southwest wind / alpine high temperature -5 C / freezing level 1700 m

Avalanche Summary

On Tuesday, several natural and human triggered storm/wind slab avalanches 10-50 cm deep and up to size 2.5 were observed on north and east aspects in the alpine. A size 1.5 explosive triggered cornice did not trigger an avalanche on the northeast facing slope below. Several natural loose wet and wet slab avalanches up to size 2 were reported from southeast, south, west and northwest facing slopes (see a MIN report from Glacier National Park here). On Monday, several natural and human triggered loose wet avalanches up to size 2 were observed on sun exposed slopes in the alpine. There were also reports of several natural, human and explosive triggered storm slab avalanches and wind slabs in immediate lee features up to size 2 in the alpine on west, north and east aspects.

Snowpack Summary

15-35 cm of recent storm snow that fell over the weekend sits on a melt-freeze crust on all aspects except for north facing slopes above 2000 m, where it sits on dry snow and surface hoar (feathery crystals). On northern aspects the new snow is slowly bonding and humans might still trigger wind slab avalanches.  Recent snowfall amounts taper quickly below treeline. Snow is disappearing rapidly at lower elevations.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind slabs of various ages can be found in immediate lee features. Wet slab avalanches might be triggered by humans on sun affected slopes.
Be careful with wind-loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Loose Wet

Expect the snow surface to become moist and the likelihood of loose wet avalanches to increase on sun exposed slopes as soon as the sun is coming out.
Minimize overhead exposure to cornices above.Minimize exposure to steep, sun exposed slopes when the solar radiation is strong.

Aspects: East, South East, South, South West, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2