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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 17th, 2018–Feb 18th, 2018
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Northwest Inland.

Watch for areas where reactive wind slabs may still be lingering. And keep in mind that it may still be possible to trigger a deeper weak layer, especially in thin or shallow areas.

Confidence

Moderate - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Ridge wind, moderate, northeast. Temperature -15. Freezing level valley bottom.MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Ridge wind light to moderate, northwest. Temperature -10. Freezing level valley bottom.TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Ridge wind light, northwest. Temperature -8. Freezing level valley bottom.

Avalanche Summary

There have been no new reports of avalanches since Wednesday when widespread natural avalanche activity up to size 2.5 was reported on wind-loaded leeward, slopes as well as loose snow releases on steep solar aspects in the afternoon.Avalanche activity will likely taper off with a period of cold, clear weather expected to persist well into the week. Watch for areas where reactive windslabs may still linger, and be extra cautious near thin spots and shallow snow pack areas where triggering a deeper weak layer is more likely.

Snowpack Summary

Winds (mostly northwesterly) have scoured wind-exposed slopes and created stiff wind slabs on leeward slopes at tree line and above. In areas sheltered from the wind, you can still find 30-50 cm of settled storm snow. A crust and/or weak feathery surface hoar layer buried in mid-January now lies about 100 cm below the surface. The crust exists well into the alpine and the surface hoar can be found in sheltered areas in the lower alpine and tree line elevations. Snowpack tests produced hard, sudden results on weak, sugary snow crystals associated with this crust in the Smithers area, indicating that this is still a layer of concern to watch for.Another two crust / surface hoar layers that were buried in December are now 100-150 cm below the surface and may still be sensitive to triggering from shallow snowpack areas.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Winds have formed stiff wind slabs in exposed areas at tree line and above. These slabs may still be reactive to human triggering. Also a release near the surface may step-down to a deeper layer buried in the snowpack.
Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.Avoid lee and cross-loaded terrain near ridge crests or convex rolls.Watch for whumpfing, hollow sounds, or shooting cracks.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5

Persistent Slabs

Weak layers buried 100-150 cm below the surface have been reactive in snowpack tests and have also produced a few large avalanches recently. These layers may also remain sensitive to human triggering in shallow snowpack areas.
Avoid lingering in runout zones, avalanches triggered from above may run long distances.Avoid shallow or thick to thin snowpack areas where triggering a deeper layer is more likely.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3.5