Register
Get forecast notifications
Create an account to receive email notifications when forecasts are published.
Login
Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 11th, 2019–Jan 12th, 2019
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Northwest Inland.

Continued precipitation, wind and warm temperatures means that the snowpack is likely primed for human triggered avalanches. Conservative terrain selection is recommended.

Confidence

Moderate - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

FRIDAY NIGHT - Flurries, 5-10 cm / southwest winds, 20-40 km/h / alpine low temperature near -1 / freezing level 1200 mSATURDAY - Cloudy with wet flurries, 5-10 cm / southerly winds, 20-40 km/h / alpine high temperature near +2 / Freezing level 1500 mSUNDAY - Mainly cloudy with scattered flurries / southwest winds, 20-40 km/h / alpine high temperature near +1 / freezing level 1400 m MONDAY - Mainly cloudy / light northwest switching to southeast wind / alpine high temperature near -1 / freezing level 900 m

Avalanche Summary

Several human triggered storm slab avalanches to size 2 were reported on Thursday at treeline and below treeline. A few of these were remotely triggered (triggered from a distance).Field observations are limited in this region, tell us what you see by posting to the Mountain Information Network! (MIN)

Snowpack Summary

25-50 cm of new snow sits above previous wind-scoured surfaces, and wind slabs in lee terrain features. Strong winds have likely redistributed this new snow, creating fresh slabs.A few buried weak layers that consist of surface hoar (feathery crystals) and/or faceted (sugary) snow may exist in some sheltered areas. The upper layer is about 35-60 cm deep. The next layer is likely 65-90 cm deep. The lower one is now approximately 100-150 cm deep. The bottom 30 to 50 cm of the snowpack consists of facets and crusts, particularly in areas where the snowpack is thin. It may be possible for storm slab avalanches to scrub down to ground in thin snowpack areas, resulting in large avalanches.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm slabs may become more reactive as temperatures rise, especially in wind loaded areas.
Watch for whumpfing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks or recent avalanches.Be careful with wind-loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.If triggered, storm slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2