Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Pine Pass.
Avoid exposure to avalanche terrain; natural avalanches are expected with continued warm temperatures, wind, and snow or rain.
Confidence
Low
Avalanche Summary
We expect widespread natural activity has occurred with snowfall, strong winds and warm temperatures. Storm snow is expected to be reactive to human triggering, and we expect these conditions to continue for several days.
Early season observations are limited. If you head into the backcountry, please post to the Mountain Information Network.
Snowpack Summary
Surface conditions likely vary from heavily wind affected snow at higher elevations, to settling storm snow in sheltered areas. Warm temperatures have likely begun to affect the surface snow, creating moist or wet snow at treeline and below.
A crust from early November may be found in the mid to lower snowpack, with surface hoar and/or facets. The distribution and reactivity of this layer are not well understood. It is uncertain whether avalanches are failing on this layer.
Below the snowpack consists of melt freeze crusts, facets, and depth hoar in some areas. At treeline, snowpack depth ranges from 100 to 200 cm.
Weather Summary
Monday Night
Mostly cloudy with around 5 cm of snow at higher elevations. 70+ km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperatures remain around 0 °C with an above freezing layer.
Tuesday
Mostly cloudy with up to 30 cm of snow possible for higher elevations, favouring the Pine Pass/Mackenzie Area. Wet snow or rain likely below 1300 m. 40 to 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperatures remain around 0 °C.
Wednesday
Another 40 cm is possible overnight above 2000 m, wet snow or rain below. 40 to 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperatures may reach +2 °C.
Thursday
Mostly cloudy. 40 to 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperatures remain around 0 °C.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Avoid avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind, or rain.
- A moist or wet snow surface, pinwheeling, and natural avalanches are all indicators of a weakening snowpack.
Avalanche Problems
Storm Slabs
Warm temperatures and rain or wet snow will increase reactivity in the recent storm snow. Avalanches may involve moist/wet/or dry snow depending on elevation and may step down to deeper buried weak layers.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Very Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 2.5