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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 30th, 2014–Feb 2nd, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Waterton Lakes.

Watch for forecast winds to create slabs. Remember to consider the deep persistent problem in all of your terrain choices.

Weather Forecast

Cold and dry period with a chance of flurries Fri and Sun. The wind will be the big variable with strong NW winds possible early Friday and strong N winds early Saturday. Often winds from this direction have minimal impact on the terrain near the divide however expect rapid slab formation if they do as there is a great deal of snow for transport.

Snowpack Summary

Jan 22 hard surfaces in many areas were buried by 10cm . This snow rotted (facetted) for a few days or melted into the strong crusts on S aspects. Jan 27 strong winds created thin slabs in open areas TL and above. Wed brought 10 to 15cm of new snow. November snow 30 cm above the ground remains weak. Snowpack distribution is highly variable.

Avalanche Summary

A few loose dry natural events have occurred in steep and cliffy terrain. Skiers in steep terrain Monday found the recent snow sluffed easily and ran well on the hard Jan 22 surfaces beneath. Buried windslabs also reacted to skiers in a few places failing on the weak facetted snow that fell Jan 22.

Confidence

Wind speed and direction is uncertain on Friday

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.