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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 31st, 2014–Apr 1st, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Great skiing with lots of fresh snow recently, but stick to conservative lines. A very serious accident on Sunday indicates that human-triggering is a very real possibility. Also, keep a close eye on the solar radiation at this time of year.

Confidence

Fair - Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain

Weather Forecast

Tuesday should bring a mix of sun and cloud with Alpine temperatures near -3 degrees. Winds will be light from the West.

Avalanche Summary

Isolated snow-balling was observed in steep solar aspects today. The skier-triggered slide from yesterday was visited today for evaluation. This slide was a size 2.5 (originally sized as a 2.0) and occurred on a North aspect at 2200m. The failure plane for the avalanche was the Feb 10th layer down an average of 110cm in this area. Photos have been posted on our Facebook page.

Snowpack Summary

8 to 12cm of new snow overnight with no wind effect. The storm snow over the past week has settled to 50cm. Moist snow was observed on solar aspects this afternoon as well as below 2000m on all other aspects. The Feb 10th layer is buried 90 to 120cm and remains a serious concern in the snowpack.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.