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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 16th, 2015–Jan 17th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Sea To Sky.

Give recently wind-loaded slopes a wide berth.

Confidence

Fair - Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Sunday

Weather Forecast

Expect light snowfall until late Saturday, when the next organised storm system brings 20-30cm snow with moderate to strong SW winds. The freezing level is expected to peak at around 1300m during this storm. Snow and wind should both gradually ease through Monday.

Avalanche Summary

Explosives and skiers triggered size 1 wind slabs on lee and cross-loaded terrain on Friday.

Snowpack Summary

New snow accompanied by strong S-SW winds is building wind slabs above a hard crust, which exists above about 1500 metres. (Below about 1500 m, the crust is breakable.) The new snow may have buried surface hoar on some slopes, possibly forming a poor bond.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.