Regions
Banff Yoho Kootenay.
Although things seem pretty stable out there, watch for triggering isolated hard windslabs and manage your exposure to loose dry sluffs while traveling in the alpine. Watch for hazard to increase depending on how much snow materializes by late Sunday
Weather Forecast
The remains of a low that hit the N coast is making its way to the divide over the next 24-36 hours. We have already seen the blue skies disappear, light snowfall begin closer to the divide, and SW winds arrive. Up to 20 cm of snow is expected with mild temperatures and W winds before an arctic ridge builds Sunday night and winter really arrives.
Snowpack Summary
A 70 to 100cm snowpack exists above treeline in most areas. The surface snow is faceting: weakening with cold temperatures. A mid pack crust is allowing the snowpack to carry travelers fairly well except in shallow areas. We are watching for this crust to weaken but it is not producing avalanches yet. Isolated wind slabs exist above treeline.
Avalanche Summary
The SW winds were blowing hard on the alpine ridges this morning. While only minor amounts of snow remain available for the winds to transport, surface faceting has weakened the snow in the alpine lee areas and we witnessed a couple of size 1.5 loose dry avalanches sluff off the steep lee terrain below the summit ridge on Mt Cascade.
Confidence
Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain
Problems
Loose Dry
Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.