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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Nov 21st, 2019–Nov 22nd, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Glacier.

The new Winter Permit System is in effect.

Ensure you have a permit to enter restricted areas when they are open.

Be alert for persistent slabs and early season terrain traps.

Weather Forecast

Sunny skies today with light N'ly winds and freezing levels rising to 1800m. High pressure continues on Friday with freezing levels to 1000m and winds picking up to moderate from the SW. Heavy snowfall is expected to arrive on Saturday along with increased SW winds.

Snowpack Summary

A 35-50cm persistent slab sits on a crust/surface hoar/stellar layer. Below this are several melt-freeze crusts from late October. Tests are showing easy to moderate results on the persistent slab, indicating they are easily triggered by human loads.

Avalanche Summary

Human-triggered avalanches to size 2 were reported from Little Sifton, Balu Pass and the Asulkan Hut area this week. The Balu Pass avalanche buried the person to their neck and gear was lost. Numerous natural avalanches to size 2.5-3 were observed from The Dome, Tupper, MacDonald, and Cheops during the storm Sunday morning.

Confidence

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.