Avalanche forecast

Summit Lake

Chugach National Forest Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

Sat
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low
Out of date — this forecast expired 2 years ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

Human triggered avalanches on deeply buried weak layers remain possible. These weak layers need time to adjust to the wind transported snow load from the past two days. It is also possible for a person to trigger a lingering wind slab avalanche up to 1' deep at upper elevations. To avoid these issues you can stick to lower angle or lower elevation slopes. 

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SPECIAL ANNOUNCEMENTS:

Motorized Access:  The Forest Service has opened Johnson Pass north trailhead and the Summit area to motorized use. You can see riding area status on the Forest HERE.

Avalanche problems

  • Deep Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    2–3.5

    With winds expected to back off today, there will be less concern for natural avalanches on buried weak layers caused by wind transported snow. However, human triggered avalanches remain possible on slopes that were recently loaded by wind transport. Deep persistent avalanche problems are tricky because they tend to give no feedback in terms of red flags and are usually triggered from a thin spot in the snowpack near rocks. Often there can be multiple tracks on the slope before an avalanche is triggered.

    Given the current snowpack setup and recent wind loading, we recommend being patient and giving the weak layers some time to adjust to the redistribution of snow the past few days. You can avoid this issue by sticking to lower angle terrain or staying at lower elevations. If you are venturing onto steep slopes choose safe, low angle, up routes, and travel one at a time in terrain greater than 30 degrees.

    Cornices along ridgelines and dry loose avalanches on steep slopes are additional hazards to look out for. As the surface snow turns to facets in the cold temperatures dry loose avalanches can start to gain more volume and run faster. 

    Glide avalanches also continue to be a concern. We have observed several glide cracks continuing to open up since the last major storm and recommend trying to avoid traveling underneath glide cracks whenever possible.

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2

    We expect the winds to back off today, so we are mostly concerned about lingering wind slabs about 1' deep from the past few days of NW outflow. A few natural wind slab avalanches were observed yesterday in Summit Lake which released from high elevation start zones. Keep an eye out for shooting cracks and hollow feeling pillows of snow that could be a sign of sensitive wind slabs. These are most commonly found along ridgelines and convex features at upper elevations. 

    (1/30/2025)

    Avalanche on Summit Peak. 

    Photo: Daniel Krueger

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