Avalanche forecast

Turnagain Pass and Girdwood

Chugach National Forest Avalanche Center
View on map

Avalanche danger

Wed
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
1 · Low
Below
1 · Low
Out of date — this forecast expired 5 months ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

Lingering wind slabs about 1' deep sitting on top of faceted snow could still cause human-triggered avalanches today. Dry loose avalanches in steep terrain are also very likely in areas with soft snow on the surface. Finally, a weak layer of facets 1 to 2' deep is an unlikely outlier that could produce a larger avalanche, but it has been a week since the last reported avalanche on this weak layer.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2

    Recent Avalanches: There were skier-triggered avalanches on  Captain's Chair in the Lynx Creek drainage last Tuesday, and on Notch Mountain in Girdwood last Wednesday. Both of these likely failed on a weak layer of faceted snow buried roughly 1 to 1.5' deep by last week's storm.

    Field observations reported widespread wind transport of the soft surface snow across much of the forecast region yesterday. Luckily, the core area of Turnagain Pass and Girdwood was largely spared, with northwest winds mostly staying light, averaging 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 20 mph, which should help preserve some of the soft surface snow.

    Where wind slabs did form yesterday, they could still be touchy today due to the soft faceted snow they formed on top of. Expect to find wind slabs around 1' deep at upper elevations near ridgelines and convex features. To identify locations with wind slabs, you can look for shooting cracks on the snow surface, hollow feeling pillows of snow, or use test slopes to check how reactive wind drifts are to the weight of a skier or rider.

    In isolated sheltered terrain features, it is still possible to trigger an avalanche under the soft surface snow on a layer of facets about 1 to 2 feet deep. It has been almost a week since the last avalanche on this weak layer, so this type of avalanche is trending towards unlikely. 

    Dry loose avalanches in steep terrain are also likely today and could run faster than normal. These are typically not large enough to bury a person, but they can knock you off your feet in steep terrain.

    (3/16/2026)

    Skier triggering some touchy wind slabs on a test slope near Peak 4940'

Regions covered