Avalanche forecast

Central Sierra Nevada

Sierra Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
2 · Moderate
Out of date — this forecast expired 9 years ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

The avalanche danger will increase to MODERATE today as sun and warmer temperatures cause more rapid warming. Human-triggered loose wet avalanches will be possible. Some natural loose wet avalanches may also be possible in a few areas. Human-triggered wind slab avalanches may remain possible in complex or extreme terrain or on wind-loaded slopes where rapid warming weakens wind slabs.

Avoid slopes where signs of warming or wet snow exist and slopes where wind slabs remain especially if they receive sunshine.   

Avalanche problems

  • Loose Wet

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1

    Warmer daytime highs and strong April sun will quickly melt through last night's refreeze leaving wet unconsolidated snow sitting on top of rain crusts. Once this wet snow forms, loose wet avalanches will be possible on any steep slopes where wet snow exists. The E-SE-S-SW-W aspects that receive the most direct sunshine and low elevation northerly aspects hold the best potential for the largest wet snow instabilities, but wet snow could form on all aspects and at most elevations today. These loose wet avalanches could entrain all of the new snow and could have serious consequences for people recreating in the backcountry. While loose wet avalanches should comprise most of the wet snow instabilities, some isolated wet slab avalanches are not impossible on some sun-exposed slopes. 

    Avoid slopes where signs of rapid warming like sticky wet surface snow, roller balls, pinwheels, or other signs of wet snow exist. Once the sun hits the slopes today, the snow will quickly become unstable and less fun to recreate on and human-triggered wet snow instabilities will become possible if people venture onto slopes where wet snow exists. Seek out shaded, sheltered slopes where the snow remains cold and non-wind-affected or start and finish early before the snow warms up for better and safer recreation. 

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1

    In many areas, the wind slabs that formed during the storm should have become more difficult to trigger; however, human-triggered wind slab avalanches may still remain possible in some places. The most fragile lingering wind slabs will exist in couloirs, in gullies, on unsupported slopes, or in other complex or extreme terrain. Today's sunshine and warming temperatures could also weaken the wind slabs and cornices on sun-exposed slopes and make them more fragile and easier to trigger as the day warms up. Wind slabs could exist on wind-loaded N-NE-E aspects as well as on cross-loaded NW and SE aspects. Any wind slab avalanches that occur today could involve enough snow to bury or injure a person.

    Clues like cornices above slopes, drifted snow, ripples in the snow surface, and other wind created textures can help identify where fragile wind slabs may exist. Use this information to avoid the wind slabs and to find sheltered non-wind-affected snow to travel on.

Avalanche Discussion

Yesterday several wind slab avalanches were reported including a skier triggered one East of Frog Lake near Carson Pass and cornice triggered ones in Polaris Bowl (near Blue Lakes), on Echo Peak, and on Tamarack Peak. These all had crowns about 1 ft deep and entrained enough snow to have serious consequences for backcountry travelers. No one was caught in these avalanches. The one in Polaris Bowl and the one near Frog Lake both occurred between 9:30 and 10:00 am. The others likely occurred around that time as well but the exact time they occurred remains uncertain. It is possible but uncertain that sun and rapid warming could have caused the cornices to weaken and fail yesterday morning. In addition to these wind slabs, ski cuts released a small loose wet avalanche yesterday afternoon on sun-exposed SE-S aspects on the Fireplug (in the Mt. Rose backcountry), and a larger natural loose wet avalanche also occurred on a low elevation ENE aspect at the start of Shirley Canyon.

 

Regions covered