Avalanche forecast

Ogden

Issued Jan 8, 2023valid to Jan 9, 2023Utah Avalanche Center

Avalanche danger

Alpine
Treeline
Below treeline

Out of date — this forecast expired 4 years ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

A MODERATE avalanche danger exists on all steep slopes with fresh soft slabs of wind drifted snow. Human triggered avalanches 1-2' deep are possible. In isolated terrain, it may be possible to trigger avalanches down to deeper weak layers.

Remember that safe travel habits save lives:

Make and communicate a plan
One at a time through steep terrain
Practice avalanche rescue

Avalanche problems

Wind Slabs
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Alpine
Treeline
Below treeline
Likelihood
Likely
Size
2
Fresh soft slabs of wind blown snow will be your primary concern for today. New and developing pillows of wind drifted snow will be primarily found on steep west to north to easterly aspects at the mid and upper elevations, but don't discount drifting onto other aspects well off the ridgelines. Have an eye for cross-loading to the lee of sub-ridges and other terrain features. Shooting cracks and light audible collapsing of the wind pillows are sure clues to instability.

A word of extra caution: any newly triggered soft slab may then step down into Friday's storm snow, resulting in a larger avalanche.
Persistent Slabs
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Alpine
Treeline
Below treeline
Likelihood
Unlikely
Size
4
Our deeply-buried persistent weak layer (PWL) continues to gain strength and become more stubborn for human triggering. It may take a significant trigger - a large cornice fall, multiple riders on a slope, or another avalanche to trigger one of these monster avalanches.

Recent Activity

While more reports filtered in of the widespread natural avalanche cycle from Friday, we did not hear of any avalanches in the backcountry yesterday.

Forecaster Greg Gagne and his partner found numerous large natural new snow avalanches while touring in the Cutler Ridge area yesterday - Bailey Spring area, Willard Peak (photo), the Ben Lomond headwall. Greg's reports are always comprehensive and instructive - you can find it HERE>

Snow and Weather

Skies are mostly cloudy in advance of a storm-in-name-only pushing through this afternoon. The mountains may see a lost snowflake or two from a system passing by to the north. Winds picked up from the south overnight, blowing 15-20mph with gusts to 30. The most exposed anemometers along the Ogden skyline have hourly averages of 25-30mph with gusts to 40. Temperatures are in the mid to upper-20s.

Riding conditions are excellent, although sun and wind damage exists in exposed terrain.

For today, we'll have mostly cloudy to overcast skies, temps in the mid to upper 20s, and moderate to strong winds from the southwest. Looking ahead, a one-two punch storm system moves through Monday afternoon through later Wednesday. The first punch brings wet, warm, and windy followed by a colder secondary wave Tuesday night into Wednesday. This may all add up to an additional 1-2" of SWE and 12-18" of snow. The Provo mountains will again be initially favored.

Clearing follows for Wednesday night through Saturday...with more storms to follow.

The state sits WAY above average for precipitation for this time of year and coverage is fantastic, with 40" at the trailheads and 75-95" up high.

General Announcements

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This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.

Observations and Avalanches

Backcountry Emergency Procedures