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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Nov 16th, 2018–Nov 17th, 2018

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.

Regions

Kananaskis.

New snow and clear skies for tomorrow. Watch for buried obstacles. The new snow will hide stumps and rocks.

Confidence

Moderate -

Weather Forecast

Clearing skies overnight. Tomorrow will be a crisp early winter day with temps hitting -10. Light winds at all elevations. No snow.

Avalanche Summary

Nothing new today, however visibility was limited.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 25cm's have fallen in last 48-36 hours. Moderate westerly winds in the alpine and treeline elevations have created new windslabs on any easterly aspect. Expect them to be reactive in deeper, wind prone areas. The winds preceded the storm, so there is a chance the new slabs could be on top of an older crust. How the Oct 26th crust reacts to the new load remains to be seen as visibility was limited today. We may be just starting the human triggered part of the settlement cycle.

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.