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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 13th, 2018–Dec 14th, 2018

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Recent snow and strong SW winds have created widepsread windslabs in all open areas.

Confidence

Moderate -

Weather Forecast

On saturday temperatures are expected to warm up with daytime highs around -5C at treeline.  Winds are forecast to begin to ease off into the moderate range out of the SW with 3-5cm of additional snow.  A new low is building in the gulf of Alaska that may MAY....  give us some more snow early next week. 

Avalanche Summary

Due to snow and cloudy conditions no new avalanches were observed or reported. 

Snowpack Summary

Over the past three days up to 30cm of snow has fallen at treeline elevations and above.  Lower elevations have only seen about have of that amount.  This new snow has fallen under the influence of strong SW winds so widespread windslabs have developed in open areas.  At treeline and below the Dec 10th surface hoar later is now down 20-25cm.  This layer is only being found in sheltered areas due to previous winds but was large so we suspect it to be reactive where present.  Overall the base of the snowpack is weak and facetted with the October crust 20-30cm off the ground. 

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.