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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 8th, 2018–Feb 9th, 2018

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Jasper.

http://www.pc.gc.ca/apps/scond/Cond_E.asp?oID=30731&oPark=100244Highway 93N from Athabasca Falls to Saskatchewan River Crossing and the Maligne Lake road will remain closed for Friday. Check Alberta 511 for updated opening times.

Weather Forecast

Storm to ease overnight on Thursday, clearing Friday morning and sunny with cloudy periods over the day. Light northerly winds and alpine temperatures near -10.

Snowpack Summary

Varied HST amounts building soft storm slabs through the forecast region, up to 45cm in the southern region on Mount Wilson; 10-15cm in the Icefields. This storm slab is sitting on the weak facetted persistent slab and is running far and fast to valley bottom. Reverse loading from north to south on ridge tops and open areas.

Avalanche Summary

Epic avalanche cycle through the forecasted region up to size 3.5. Most active at 2400m to 2600m (TL elevation). Expect the same carnage in the alpine but unable to confirm due to poor visability.

Confidence

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.