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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 15th, 2015–Jan 18th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Waterton Lakes.

On Sunday, the danger rating could rise if enough snow and wind effect the forecast region. Monitor conditions in your immediate surroundings on Sunday and adjust your terrain choices accordingly.

Weather Forecast

Light precipitation and strong wind is forecasted for the next three days. The bulk of the precipitation is forecasted for Sunday morning (~15cm). Expect the danger rating to rise to considerable when this occurs on Sunday.

Snowpack Summary

Windslabs overlying softer snow are the primary surface concern. Surface hoar is also growing in sheltered areas, up to 7mm. In the midpack, the Dec 13 crust is now 60 to 120cm deep. Forecasters did not get any results on this layer on Jan 15 at Grizzly Pass above Cameron Lk. In shallower snowpack areas the layer may be more reactive.

Avalanche Summary

No avalanches were observed or reported on Jan 15.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Sunday

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.