Persistent Slabs
- Alpine
- Treeline
- Below treeline
- Likelihood
- Possible
- Size
- 2–3
Two large, natural avalanches released yesterday or Monday night in wind-loaded, south-facing terrain just north of Galena Lodge (photo to right/below, view observation). I also saw fairly recent avalanches (unknown release dates) on a SE-facing, alpine slope in the Smoky Mtns and on an E-facing, alpine slope near ridgeline in the Boulder Mtns (view observation). Strong winds in the past couple of days moved snow onto many slopes, stressing the weak layers near the ground and in the upper half of the snowpack:
- In the upper 1-3 feet of the snowpack, multiple interfaces have produced avalanches and unstable test results recently. In this zone, these layers appear to be worst on slopes that face the sun, where they are accompanied by a crust.
- Depth hoar exists near the ground on all aspects. This is the snow that we've been talking about all season long and seem destined to talk about for the remainder of the season. This layer is buried deeper and is more difficult (but not impossible) to trigger.
On Friday, Ben and Chris visited the site of an avalanche fatality in Smiley Creek west of this zone (details here). This avalanche failed on a crust + facet layer buried underneath a dense, 3-foot thick slab. Near Butterfield (Baker Ck) earlier this week, Ben found a thin snowpack with multiple buried weak layers (observation here, photo of snowpit here). These weak layers produced unstable snowpack test results and reinforced his decision to avoid consequential avalanche terrain.
Given the uncertainty surrounding these weak layers, skiing or riding in "prime-time" avalanche terrain remains risky. You are more likely to trigger an avalanche on wind-affected slopes steeper than about 35 degrees, but these weak layers exist in sheltered terrain as well. I'm especially leery of SW-S-SE facing avalanche paths where we have the "double whammy" of a crust+facet layer about 3 feet down and recent wind-loading; think long and hard before skiing or riding those slopes.
(2/23/2021) These 2 large slab avalanches released naturally during the strong NW wind event Monday night or Tuesday in the Westernhome Gulch drainage (9650', S-SE).