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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 4th, 2015–Mar 5th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Purcells.

Variable winds and recent convective flurries have created fresh wind slabs in exposed areas.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Mainly sunny for Thursday then cloudy with sunny periods on Friday and Saturday, with isolated light flurries possible in the northern part of the region. Freezing as high as 1600 m on Thursday then up to 2100 m for Friday and Saturday, but down to valley bottoms overnight. Light southwesterly winds are expected for Thursday before increasing to moderate westerlies on Friday.

Avalanche Summary

Reports from Tuesday include several dry loose sluffs in steep terrain and thin soft wind slabs reacting to slope cuts with minimal propagation.

Snowpack Summary

Roughly 5-10 cm of recent storm snow adds to the variable amounts of dry facetted snow on top of the mid-February crust with associated buried surface hoar in sheltered areas, or more recent melt-freeze crusts on sun-exposed slopes. The late-Jan crust/surface hoar layer can be found about a metre below the surface in deeper snowpack areas. The mid-January surface hoar, can be found below that. These layers have gained significant strength, and chances of triggering these weaknesses have decreased dramatically. However, triggering may be possible with a large input such as cornice fall, or an avalanche stepping down, especially on slopes that see a lot of sun.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.