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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 24th, 2014–Dec 25th, 2014

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Glacier.

Weather Forecast

The forecast calls for a cooling trend, an end to the precipitation and a drop in wind speed to light over the next 24hrs.  The extended forecast calls for light precipitation on Boxing day.

Snowpack Summary

A surface slab continues to build on top of the well preserved and widespread Dec 17th surface hoar layer (10-20mm) down 40 to 65cm depending on wind loading. This SH layer sits on top of a rain crust up to 2100m on well settled snow above 2100m. The Dec 9th surface hoar layer is down 80cm in the area. The Nov 9th crust is 30cm up from the ground.

Avalanche Summary

Skier triggered, skier remote and natural avalanches continued through Dec 23. Remote triggering of the surface slab from distances greater than 50m were reported Dec 22. Most of the activity was occurring between 1700-2400m. Moderate to strong southerly winds will be continuing to transport storm snow and overload the Dec 17 surface hoar layer.

Confidence

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.