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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 16th, 2014–Mar 17th, 2014

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Glacier.

We are in the middle of a storm and a natural avalanche cycle. The backcountry will be a very dangerous place until tomorrow. Best to head to the local ski hills today for some turns.

Weather Forecast

Pacific storm will continue to deliver snow, rain at lower elevations, with mild temperatures to the interior until late tonight with moderate to strong south west winds. Precipitation will then back off and temperatures will cool down. Unsettled conditions will persist into Monday.

Snowpack Summary

30cm of heavy snow on top of 20cm of lower density snow overlie the Mar 13 crust on solar aspects and below 1600m. Rain below 1100m has saturated the upper snowpack. The Mar 2 crust is down around 1m and the Feb 10 layer is down 1.5m-2m. the mid and lower snowpack is very well settled.

Avalanche Summary

Natural cycle in progress. Avalanches to size 4.0 running to the end of their runouts throughout the highway corridor. The same can be expected in the backcountry.

Confidence

on Sunday

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wet Slabs

Wet Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) that is generally moist or wet when the flow of liquid water weakens the bond between the slab and the surface below (snow or ground). They often occur during prolonged warming events and/or rain-on-snow events. Wet Slabs can be very unpredictable and destructive.