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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 5th, 2013–Dec 6th, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Glacier.

Weather Forecast

The arctic air is going to continue to dominate bringing cold, dry and mostly sunny conditions. The alpine temps today should range from -19 to -25 with light NE winds. Friday should be -25 to -30 with light E winds. On Saturday we should  temps of -20 to -25 with moderate N winds.

Snowpack Summary

Surface facetting is softening windslabs and new surface hoar growth is occurring. The November 28 surface hoar/crust interface is down 30-40 and the November 12 surface hoar layer is down 60-110cm.

Avalanche Summary

No new natural avalanches were observed yesterday. On Tuesday, a group reported easily ski cutting a few pockets of soft windslab in 8812 bowl. Earlier in the week, several large avalanches natural avalanches occurred. They all appeared to be 30-40cm deep, likely on the Nov 28 surface hoar/crust.

Confidence

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.