Avalanche forecast

Craigieburn Range

New Zealand Avalanche Advisory
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Avalanche danger

High Alpine · above 1,800 m
2 · Moderate
Alpine · 1,200 m–1,800 m
2 · Moderate
Sub Alpine · below 1,200 m
1 · Low
Out of date — this forecast expired 4 weeks ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

New snow on the range which has made for amazing skiing and riding

Wind Slab is still the hazard to watch.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • All elevations
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1.5

    Expect Wind Slabs to have formed on steep Northern 1/2 aspects. Watch for dense pockets of wind blown snow if in terrain above 30degrees. Mt Hutt found a weaker layer within the latest storm snow. Be aware of your runout just in case.

  • Loose Wet

    • All elevations
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1

    Steep sunny aspects at mid elevation could soften enough during the day to produce small Loose Wet avalanches. If the forecast high cloud appears tomorrow, then this will add heat to the snow surface causing loss of cohesion to occur much quicker.

  • Loose Dry

    • All elevations
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1

    Cold temperatures are forecast for the next few days. Expect any new snow accumulated in steep sheltered terrain and could produce small Loose Dry avalanches, especially above 1800m. Although these are generally small, with current conditions, they have potential to run far and fast.

Recent Avalanche Activity

Loose Dry/Wet reported 24/07 Southwest aspect 1850m, South end of the range.

Multiple small Wind Slabs triggered with explosives control across the range, 25 and 26/07.

Current Snowpack Conditions

Coverage is patchy with significant pockets of wind deposited snow all the way through to very thin patches. Around 25mm of rain fell on the range on the 15/07. Upwards of 30cm fell with strong Southwest winds overnight on the 24/07. During the down pour the freezing level dropped to around 1500m leaving cold, dry snow above 1600m and wet snow below this level. A further 10cm fell with light southwest winds 25/07. Possible buried Surface Hoar was found within the latest storm snow.

Mountain Weather

Monday: Fine with morning frosts, possibly severe. High cloud developing in the afternoon. Light West to Southwest winds. Freezing level 1200m rising to 1600m in the evening.

Tuesday: Fine. Light winds. Freezing level 1600m rising to 2000m at night.

Sliding Danger

Ice axe and Crampons are recommended if venturing out. There are still some hard icy patches along ridgelines.

Forecast Confidence

Moderate

  • We have a good understanding of the snowpack structure and confidence in the weather forecast.
  • We are uncertain about how the timing or intensity of solar radiation will affect the snowpack.

New Zealand Avalanche Advisory (NZ Mountain Safety Council)

Regions covered