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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 17th, 2016–Feb 18th, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Little Yoho.

Warm temperatures are settling the recent instabilities, and conditions for natural avalanches have improved but we still consider human triggering to be possible in some areas. Be very careful of any slopes that have not yet avalanched recently.

Weather Forecast

A SW flow over the area will bring isolated flurries over the next few days, along with temperatures ranging from 0 to -8 in alpine areas. Expect valley bottoms to be warmer. Winds are from the south, and will be relatively light for the next few days.

Snowpack Summary

Recent windslab and rapid cornice growth is occurring with 20- 40 cm of recent snow and moderate to strong W winds. A 60-130 cm slab overlies the January 6th weak layer of surface hoar (below 2000m), facets and sun crust. This layer is slowly breaking down but still giving hard sudden planar results in test pits. The lower snowpack is well settled.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches observed or reported on Wed in Little Yoho, although we are only a few days after a healthy avalanche cycle, and human triggering remains likely.

Confidence

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.