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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 2nd, 2019–Feb 3rd, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Little Yoho.

Great ski quality in sheltered areas. Give the new snow time to settle before committing to bigger terrain features with consequence.

Weather Forecast

Arctic air has moved in and temperatures will see lows to -30C and highs around -20C for the next few days.  Winds have switched to the NE and will become light on Sunday.  Only trace amounts of new snow are in the forecast.

Snowpack Summary

30-40cm of new snow with moderate to strong variable winds are building slabs in lee areas of the alpine. In locations up to 2200m a thin but reactive layer of surface hoar and/or crust is found down 60-70cm. The mid and lower snowpack have few weaknesses, however concern remains for the weak facets below the Dec 10 interface in shallow areas.

Avalanche Summary

Skied were obscured all day Saturday in the Little Yoho area so no observations were made.

Confidence

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.