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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 27th, 2019–Jan 28th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

New snowfall Sunday was variable across the Park; the Storm Slab problem will vary accordingly. Use caution on steep slopes, particularly if the new snow is catching sun or over a hard surface.

Weather Forecast

Monday will be clear, no new snow, Treeline Low -15, Hi -10, with NW winds easing to Light. Temperatures slowly rise into the -5 to -10 range over the next two days, with little cloud, wind or snowfall forecast.A detailed mountain weather forecast is available from Avalanche Canada.

Snowpack Summary

5-10cm new snow fell on Sunday with NW winds, over hard surfaces in wind exposed Alpine terrain, and on steep solar aspects.  A layer of weak surface hoar is now buried 15-20cm deep. Below, a strong mid-pack sits over weak, large facets and depth-hoar in the lower third of the snowpack (giving sudden results in snowpack testing Saturday).

Avalanche Summary

No avalanches reported Sunday, in poor visibility.Saturday's patrol noted a couple of size 1 Loose Wet avalanches on steep, solar aspect terrain, failing during warm temperatures and sunshine.Be part of the forecasting team - share what you've seen HERE, on the Mountain Information Network!

Confidence

Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.