Generally safe avalanche conditions in most areas. If the winds pick up, thin wind slabs may form on lee features in the alpine.
Confidence
Moderate - Due to the number of field observations
Weather Forecast
Sunday: Cloudy with isolated flurries / Light southwesterly winds / High of -16 C.Monday: Mix of sun and cloud / Light northwesterly winds / High of -20 C.Tuesday: Sunny / Light northwesterly winds / High of -18 C.
Avalanche Summary
No recent avalanche observations have been reported in this region.
Snowpack Summary
The cold temperatures will have promoted surface faceting, which probably means the top layer of snow is soft in most places. Treeline snow depths around Elkford are only around 60 cm. I suspect they are slightly higher in places like the Flathead, but generally conditions are lean. Threshold snow depths for avalanches have been exceeded in the alpine and at treeline, but not below treeline. In shallow areas, the snowpack is most likely facetted (sugary) throughout, and any crusts have probably broken down already. In deeper areas, you can probably find the mid-November crust buried under half a metre or so of snow. Early season hazards such as stumps, rocks, and open creeks are still a major concern.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.