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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 10th, 2019–Apr 11th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

South Rockies.

Isolated pockets of reactive wind slab may be found at upper elevations on Northerly aspects. The sun packs a punch this time of year and even small doses can initiate loose wet avalanches.

Confidence

Low - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

Unsettled weather leading into the weekend with a mix of sun and cloud and some convective precipitation. TONIGHT: Possible trace of new snow. Alpine temperatures -6 and freezing levels 1400 m. Ridgetop winds moderate from the southwest.THURSDAY: A mix of sun and cloud with alpine temperatures near -2 degrees and freezing levels 2000 m. Ridgetop winds light from the southwest.FRIDAY: Cloudy with snow amounts 5-10 cm. Alpine temperatures near -3 and freezing levels 1700 m. Ridgetop winds moderate primarily from the southwest.SATURDAY: Cloudy with a trace of snow. Alpine temperatures near -2 and freezing levels 1800 m. Ridgetop winds will generally be light with strong gusts from the southwest.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanche activity reported from this region on Wednesday, the following is all from the Lizard Range and Flathead region: On Wednesday, numerous natural loose wet avalanches up to size 1  occurred mostly from steep alpine terrain.

Snowpack Summary

10-15 cm of accumulated snow from the past few days is moist and has turned to shmoo from daily warming at treeline and below. A supportive crust sits below the recent snow above 1400 m. Below 1400 m the snowpack is becoming isothermal. During the heat of the day, especially under direct sun, the snow surface becomes moist or wet almost everywhere. The exception being high elevation north facing features. Steep, north facing, alpine terrain may still hold a cold, dry, snowpack where a well settled slab rests on weak facets (sugary snow). Although unlikely, human triggering of persistent slabs on this layer may still be possible, especially in rocky alpine terrain with a shallow or highly variable depth snowpack.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.