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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 23rd, 2025–Jan 24th, 2025

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Cariboos, North Rockies, McBride, Quesnel, Sugarbowl, Kakwa, McGregor, Pine Pass, Renshaw.

Continue to choose conservative terrain giving the storm snow time to settle and bond.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Wednesday, a large (size 2.5) wind slab failing on a crust occurred in steep wind-loaded east-facing terrain in the McGregors. Several smaller but similar wind slabs were triggered by riders in the same area on Tuesday.

The field team was also able to trigger small slabs on surface hoar and witnessed shooting cracks in the Pine Pass area. See photos below.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 40 cm of recent storm snow combined with moderate to strong westerly winds have built reactive storm slabs in the region. The most snow fell in the northern and central parts of the region, with less in the Barkerville, McBride and Kakwa areas.

The storm snow is covering a variety of surfaces that may take a while to bond. These include old wind-affected snow, hard crusts, facets, and surface hoar.

We continue to track early January and early December surface hoar and crust layers down 30 to 60 cm and 80 to 150 cm, respectively. Both are considered unlikely to trigger.

Weather Summary

Thursday Night

Cloudy with 0 to 2 cm of snow. 40 to 50 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -9 °C.

Friday

Sunny. 25 to 40 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -8 °C.

Saturday

A mix of sun and cloud. 30 to 40 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -8°C.

Sunday

Sunny. 40 to 50 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C, with possible temperature inversion.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Start with conservative terrain and watch for signs of instability.
  • Keep your guard up as storm slabs may remain sensitive to human triggering.
  • Closely monitor how the new snow is bonding to the crust.
  • Be aware of the potential for larger than expected storm slabs due to buried surface hoar.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.