Avalanche forecast

Glacier

Feb 8 – 9, 2023Avalanche Canada
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Avalanche danger

Fri
Sat
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
3 · Considerable
Below
3 · Considerable

Highlights

Finally a decent winter storm rolled through Rogers Pass, modifying the snowpack and landscape.

Let the mountains settle into their new blanket of snow peacefully. Stick to supported, low-angled slopes with limited overhead exposure.

Avalanche problems

  • Loose Dry

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1–2

    Anticipate dry loose avalanches in steep, sheltered terrain where it hasn't settled into a slab. If you decide to enter the backcountry, manage your group appropriately and be aware of terrain traps around you.

  • Storm Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1.5–3.5

    The recent storm brought another 30cm of storm snow, which was accompanied by strong winds. The storm slab is reactive at all elevations and deeper in wind-loaded areas.

  • Deep Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely - Possible
    Size
    2.5–4

    This layer has been mainly dormant for the last few weeks but has the potential to 'wake up' with the additional snow load from the storm. Steep, thin, unsupported areas are where this deep layer may be triggered, and the resulting avalanches would be VERY LARGE!

Confidence

High

Avalanche Summary

A natural avalanche cycle is currently underway Tues afternoon in Rogers Pass. Artillery control has been productive in the highway corridor, with average sz 2.5-3 avalanches from explosive triggers.

Snowpack Summary

70-85cm of storm snow from the last 6 days, strong SW winds, and mild temps have created reactive surface slabs.

The mid-snowpack is mainly rounded grains.

The basal Nov 17 deep persistent weak layer is mostly faceted with a decomposing crust in various locations.

Weather Summary

The tail-end of the atmospheric river leaves the area tonight, with unsettled flurries, gusty winds, and dropping freezing levels in its wake.

Tonight: flurries, 5-10cm, Alp low -12*C, mod/gusting strong W'ly, 400m FZL

Wed: isolated flurries, trace snow, Alp high -11*C, light SW winds, 700m FZL

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
  • In areas where deep persistent slabs may exist, avoid shallow or variable depth snowpacks and unsupported terrain features.
  • Cornice failures could trigger very large and destructive avalanches.

Regions covered