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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 12th, 2026–Jan 13th, 2026

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

North Columbia, McBride, Premier, Quesnel, Sugarbowl, Clemina, Kakwa, McGregor, Pine Pass, Renshaw, Robson.

Warming temps will rapidly settle new snow, increasing the chance of human triggering.

As the avalanche danger increases, the solution is simple: choose conservative terrain.

Confidence

Moderate

  • Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain.
  • Uncertainty is due to the speed, direction, or duration of the wind and its effect on the snowpack.

Avalanche Summary

Storm and wind slab avalanches were reported size 1 to 2.5 over the past three days, triggered naturally, by humans and explosives. Most were on northwest to northeast aspects at upper elevations.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 25 cm of snow on Monday is being transported and building new and reactive wind slabs.

The prominent mid-December facet/crust layer is buried over 1 m deep and extends up to 2200 m. Triggering the crust is considered unlikely, except with large loads or in thin snowpack areas.

Weather Summary

Monday Night
Cloudy. 2 mm of precipitation as snow or rain at treeline. 70 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -1 °C. Freezing level 1600 m.

Tuesday
Cloudy. 1 mm of precipitation as snow or rain at treeline. 70 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 0 °C. Freezing level 1800 m.

Wednesday
Mix of sun and clouds. 90 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 3 °C. Freezing level 2600 m.

Thursday
Sunny. 50 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C. Freezing level 1000 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Dial back your terrain choices if you are seeing more than 25 cm of new snow.
  • Be especially cautious as you transition into wind-affected terrain.
  • Back off slopes as the surface becomes moist or wet with rising temperatures.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.