Avalanche forecast

Grohman

Dec 21 – 22, 2023Avalanche Canada
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Archived · expired 3 years ago

Avalanche danger

Sat
Sun
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
1 · Low
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

Caution around shallow snowpack areas at higher elevations. A buried layer of surface hoar remains the primary concern, especially where the crust over this layer is breakable.

Avalanche problems

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2.5

    A preserved layer of surface hoar is found down 40 to 70 cm and has shown consistent reactivity in recent snowpack tests. It may be reactive to human triggers, at higher elevations, where the weak layer is not capped by a rain crust.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

No recent persistent slab avalanche activity has been reported lately but the weak layer continues to be reactive in snowpack tests. These layers are most likely to be reactive to triggering in shallow snowpack areas at higher elevations where the crust is less robust.

If you go out in the backcountry, please consider sharing your observations on the Mountain Information Network (MIN).

Snowpack Summary

On sheltered locations, 10-20 cm of light snow overlies a layer of surface hoar and a sun crust. Surface snow is moist from 1700 m and below. A prominent rain crust is found 40 to 70 cm deep. While this crust may be strong enough to cap another preserved layer of large surface hoar crystals in some areas, in other areas the crust is breakable or absent. It may be possible to trigger this weak layer in areas where the crust is thinner and less supportive, with higher-elevation terrain being the most suspect.

Typical snowpack depths at treeline are 70 to 110 cm, and taper rapidly below treeline.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night

Partly cloudy, no accumulation, alpine wind southwest 30 to 40 km/h, treeline temperature -2° C, freezing level 1500 m.

Thursday

Cloudy with scattered flurries, trace accumulation, alpine wind southwest 30 to 40 km/h, treeline temperature -2° C, freezing level 1800 m.

Friday

Increasing cloudiness, snow 5-10 cm, alpine wind southwest 40 to 60 km/h, treeline temperature -2° C, freezing level 1500 m.

Saturday

Mix of sun and clouds, no precipitation, alpine wind northwest 30 to 40 km/h, treeline temperature -6° C, freezing level at 800 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Surface hoar distribution is highly variable. Avoid generalizing your observations.
  • Avalanche hazard may have improved, but be mindful that deep instabilities are still present.
  • Early season avalanches at any elevation have the potential to be particularly dangerous due to obstacles that are exposed or just below the surface.

Regions covered