Avalanche forecast

Vancouver Island

Mar 8 – 9, 2026Avalanche Canada
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Avalanche danger

Tue
Wed
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

Winter is coming back!

We are unsure of how well the new snow will bond with the crust below.

Avalanche problems

  • Storm Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–1.5

    New snow falls on a crust that has formed from this week's rain. Cooling temperatures should help the new snow form a strong bond at the crust, but we have no confirmation of this at this time. Expect deeper deposits on lee aspects.

Confidence

Moderate

  • We are uncertain due to rapidly changing freezing levels.
  • The snowpack structure is well understood.

Avalanche Summary

We suspect a loose wet cycle has occurred with the warm temperatures and rain.

If you head out, please consider posting your observations to the Mountain Information Network.

Snowpack Summary

At higher elevations, up to 20 cm of new snow may have fallen on a new crust that formed as temperatures fell. Below the freezing level, snow continues to be rain soaked and isothermal.

The remaining snowpack has no other layers of concern.

Snowpack depths at treeline range from 95 to 250 cm.

Weather Summary

Saturday Night
Mostly cloudy. 15 to 20 mm of precipitation. 50 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 0 °C. Freezing level 1400 m.

Sunday
Mix of sun and clouds. 4 to 5 cm of snow. 40 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C. Freezing level 800 m.

Monday
Mix of sun and clouds. 3 to 10 cm of snow. 30 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -6 °C.

Tuesday
Mix of sun and clouds. 5 to 25 cm of snow. 40 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be alert to conditions that change with aspect and elevation.
  • Avalanche activity is unlikely when a thick melt-freeze crust is present on the snow surface.

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