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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 11th, 2025–Dec 12th, 2025

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Purcells, South Rockies, Dogtooth, East Purcell, Bull, Elkford East, Elkford West.

Allow recent storm snow to settle and bond, and choose conservative terrain accordingly.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

A widespread avalanche cycle occurred on Tuesday and Wednesday, up to size 2 at all aspects and elevations. Several of these avalanches occurred below treeline, sliding on buried surface hoar, and releasing in surprisingly low-angle terrain.

A few explosive-controlled avalanches have failed on the mid-November crust, all size 2 or smaller.

If you are getting out into the mountains, please consider posting your observations to the MIN.

Snowpack Summary

Approximately 40 to 70 cm of recent storm snow has accumulated atop a widespread layer of faceted snow or surface hoar.

A hard crust buried in mid-November exists at lower-alpine elevations (~2400 m) and below, but is absent in higher-alpine terrain. This crust is approximately 50 to 90 cm below the surface at treeline.

Snowpack depths at treeline range from 90 to 140 cm, thinning quickly at lower elevations.

Weather Summary

Thursday Night
Partly cloudy. Trace amounts of snow. 30 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -7 °C.

Friday
Mostly cloudy. 2 to 5 cm of snow. 40 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -7 °C.

Saturday
Mix of sun and clouds. Trace amounts of snow. 50 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C, and warming through the day. Freezing level 2000 m by the end of the day.


Sunday
Mix of sun and clouds. 2 to 5 mm of precipitation as snow or rain at treeline. 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 1 °C. Freezing level 2200 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.
  • Be especially cautious as you transition into wind-affected terrain.
  • Approach steep and open slopes at and below treeline cautiously, as buried surface hoar may exist.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.