Avalanche forecast

Jasper

Dec 29 – 30, 2025Avalanche Canada
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Archived · expired 9 months ago

Avalanche danger

Wed
Thu
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
3 · Considerable
Below
2 · Moderate

Highlights

Large natural slab avalanches continue across the region.
Shift to northerly winds will result in reverse loading.
Make conservative terrain choices and avoid overhead hazard.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1.5–3

    Ongoing moderate to strong transport redistributing new snow from the past week, resulting in significant loading (and reloading) of lee features across a range of aspects.

  • Loose Dry

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2

    Plenty of soft snow is available for loose dry avalanches, especially as moderate to strong winds move snow into gullies and steep features. Ice climbers should watch for overhead hazard, as even small sluffs can have serious consequences.

  • Deep Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    2.5–4.5

    There have been numerous large avalanches up to size 4 in Jasper this past week. This problem encompasses multiple weak layers of facets, crusts, and basal facets from November and December.

Confidence

Moderate

  • Uncertainty is due to the limited number of field observations.

Avalanche Summary

Very large to large natural slab avalanches running to ground are still being observed in the field. December 27 road patrol down the Icefields Parkways saw several new deep persistent slab avalanches along the corridor.
Local ski resort has been reporting deep persistent slab avalanches set off by explosives but also light triggers.

Snowpack Summary

Icefields Parkway: About 50 cm of new snow fell last week, with total snow depths of 160–190 cm at TL. The upper snowpack is made up of well-consolidated storm snow from the past two weeks. A Dec facet layer sits ~60 cm above the ground, transitioning to an early-November faceting crust near the base.

Maligne Lake area: Snow depth at TL averages ~1 m and is less consolidated. The Dec facet layer is ~50 cm above the ground and closer to surface.
Widespread wind effect in all regions.

Weather Summary

Monday
A mix of sun and cloud. Precipitation: Nil. Alpine temperature: High -7 °C. Ridge wind west: 15 km/h.

Tuesday

Cloudy with sunny periods. Precipitation: Nil.

Alpine temperature: Low -7 °C, High -4 °C.

Ridge wind southwest: 15 km/h. Freezing level: 1600 metres.

Wednesday

Cloudy with sunny periods. Precipitation: Nil.

Alpine temperature: Low -8 °C, High -5 °C.

Ridge wind southwest: 10 km/h. Freezing level: 1500 metres.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be careful with sluffing in steep terrain, especially above cliffs and terrain traps.
  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind-affected terrain.
  • Be mindful that deep instabilities are still present and have produced recent large avalanches.

Regions covered