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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 13th, 2020–Mar 14th, 2020

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kootenay Boundary.

New snow and strong east wind will form new wind slabs in exposed terrain. This snow is continuing to load buried weak layers that have surprised people.

Confidence

Moderate - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain.

Weather Forecast

FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with snowfall, accumulation 5 to 10 cm, moderate to strong east wind, alpine temperature -17 C.

SATURDAY: Cloudy with snowfall then clearing, accumulation 2 to 5 cm, light to moderate east wind, alpine temperature -16 C.

SUNDAY: Clear skies, light northeast wind, alpine temperature -10 C.

MONDAY: Clear skies, light northeast wind, alpine temperature -5 C, freezing level rising to 1500 m.

Avalanche Summary

A few wind slab avalanches were triggered by humans on Friday. They were in alpine terrain and on north and east aspects, about 40 cm deep. One of the wind slabs stepped down to the surface hoar layer described in the Snowpack Summary.

Many wind slab avalanches were triggered by explosives and naturally on Thursday. They occurred on all aspects, at alpine elevations, and were 20 to 40 cm thick.

Widespread avalanche activity is starting to quiet down on the surface hoar layer described in the Snowpack Summary. Over the past two weeks, small to large (size 1 to 2) avalanches have released on this surface hoar layer. They have most often released between 1800 and 2300 m on northwest to east aspects.

Snowpack Summary

Snowfall and strong easterly wind will form new wind slabs in exposed terrain. This wind direction is atypical, so terrain features that don't typically have wind slabs may this weekend. Wind slabs may still linger in north to east terrain from the storm earlier in the week.

The upper snowpack is relatively complex. A few different layers of surface hoar and melt-freeze crust exist, which have recently acted as sliding layers. One such layer buried about a week ago may be found about 20 to 40 cm deep. The most widespread layer was buried late February and is now buried 60 to 80 cm. This layer is most commonly found in open trees (e.g. in this MIN) or sheltered terrain around the upper part of below treeline, treeline, and lower alpine elevations. This layer may only remain a concern in the north and east parts of the region.

The remainder of the snowpack is strong and well-settled.

Terrain and Travel

  • Watch for avalanche hazard to increase throughout the day.
  • Use careful route-finding and stick to moderate slope angles with low consequences.
  • Avoid freshly wind loaded terrain features.
  • Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to the presence of buried surface hoar.
  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.