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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 14th, 2021–Dec 15th, 2021

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

North Columbia.

Continually assess for wind loading as you change aspects. Up to 30cm of low density snow is availible for transport.

Confidence

Moderate -

Weather Forecast

Tuesday night: Alpine winds will be light from the Southwest with some light flurries bringing up to 5cm of new snow. A low of -10 at 1500m is expected.

Wednesday: alpine winds will be moderate from the Southwest. Some light flurries for the evening. High of -8 at 1500m.

Thursday: High of -8 at 1500m. Up to 10cm of new snow with winds becoming moderate from the Northwest.

Friday: High of -11 at 1500m. Moderate Northwest winds in the morning shifting to Southwest in the afternoon. No new snow expected.

Avalanche Summary

Two skier triggered wind slab avalanches were reported in the region on Monday. Both were size 1.5 in the treeline elevation. One was on a Southeast aspect and the other on a North aspect.

One skier controlled avalanche was also reported on Monday Near RMR. This was a size one wind slab on a North aspect at treeline.

Snowpack Summary

10 to 30cm of low density snow fell Tuesday morning with the largest amounts in the Selkirks. This overlies up to 30cm of old storm snow that was redistributed by moderate Southeast winds.

  

The defining feature of the snowpack is a widespread prominent crust that reaches as high as 2200 m in the alpine now sits 50-80 cm below the surface. In many places, overlying snow is well-bonded to the crust but in others weak faceted grains have been observed growing above it.

Average snowpack depth at treeline is 230cm.

Terrain and Travel

  • Pay attention to the wind, once it starts to blow fresh sensitive wind slabs are likely to form.
  • Avoid freshly wind loaded features, especially near ridge crests, roll-overs and in steep terrain.
  • In areas where deep persistent slabs may exist, avoid shallow or variable depth snowpacks and unsupported terrain features.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.