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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 15th, 2013–Apr 16th, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Cariboos.

Confidence

Fair - Due to variable snowpack conditions

Weather Forecast

Tuesday: No snow. Light winds. Freezing level near 1300 m. Wednesday: Light snow. Moderate SW winds. Freezing level near 1500 m. Thursday: Moderate snow. Light to moderate SW winds. Freezing level near 1600 m.

Avalanche Summary

Several loose avalanches to size 2 were observed on Sunday. A cornice fall also triggered a size 2 avalanche in steep terrain.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 40 cm recent storm snow has been shifted by variable winds into wind slabs at treeline and above. Below treeline, warm daytime temperatures have been softening the snow surface.Some professionals are expressing concern for a surface hoar interface buried within the upper metre or so of the snowpack, mainly on high-elevation northerly aspects. It may be slowly gaining some strength, but these slopes should still be treated with suspicion. On other slopes, recent storm snow overlies a crust. This crust interface has recently become reactive in regions further south. Cornices in the region are very large and potentially destructive.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.