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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 24th, 2016–Mar 25th, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Jasper.

http://www.pc.gc.ca/apps/scond/Cond_E.asp?oID=23025&oPark=100244Any duration of solar input will quickly affect the overall Hazard.

Weather Forecast

Cool overnight temperatures. Apparently... forecasts calling for 6cm overnight, we'll see I guess. Cooler then originally forecast for Friday with freezing levels rising to 1800ms and Alpine temperatures -3. Moderate and gusty W-ly winds through the day Friday.

Snowpack Summary

Moist surface snow and, where a shallower snowpack exists, isothermal conditions BLT on solar aspects with some recovery overnight. Overall, the snowpack is shallow everywhere but, there is significant variation through-out the forecasting area. The persistent slab, down 30-70cms has been most active in the surrounding area off the ski hill.

Avalanche Summary

Field team in the Icefields area report only minor pin-wheels and snow-balling on immediate solar aspects.

Confidence

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.