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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 18th, 2015–Feb 19th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

Careful with increasing solar inputs Cornices are large and looming-give them a wide berth.

Weather Forecast

Flurries expected Thursday and Friday though not expected to amount to much.  Above seasonal temperatures are expected and rain could fall in the valley bottoms.

Snowpack Summary

Surface hoar continues to grow at all elevations.  Up to 50cm of settled snow overlies a variety of crusts and provides good travel.  These firmer upper layers are resting on 50-75cm of weak, poorly bonded faceted snow crystals. Cornice drops and step downs could trigger large avalanches in the alpine.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were observed or reported today.

Confidence

Track of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Thursday

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.