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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 4th, 2013–Mar 5th, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Jasper.

Give the storm snow a few days to settle. Expect the danger rating to increase if the sun comes out especially in the afternoons.

Weather Forecast

Tuesday will be cloudy periods, light winds and flurries. Freezing level is forecast to be 900m in the afternoon. Wednesday it will be sunny and warm with afternoon freezing levels rising to 1500m. Thursday will be flurries and freezing level rising to 1500m but likely colder wednesday night leading into Thursday.

Snowpack Summary

A significant amount of snow arrived with warm temperatures and relatively light winds Friday-Saturday. This snow created a storm snow instability on all aspects and elevations yet mild temperatures helped keep things relatively in place. The new snow sits on previous windslab surfaces at treeline and above.  Faceted weak snow at lower elevations.

Avalanche Summary

Explosive control work produced some size 3 soft slabs in the Icefields and Maligne lake alpine areas. They slid on the storm snow interface. A few dusted the highway. Natural activity was limited but a few size 2-3's were noted. Winds still need to slab up the storm snow. Gullies above polar circus were 85% cleaned out with control work. 

Confidence

Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain on Tuesday

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.