Avalanche forecast

Jasper

Mar 4 – 5, 2016Parks Canada
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Archived · expired 11 years ago

Avalanche danger

Fri
Sat
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible - Likely
    Size
    1–2
    Expect slab development immediate to lee ridge lines and cross loaded features. Bonding should be suspect, progress cautiously into steeper terrain.
  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible - Likely
    Size
    1–3
    Persistent weak layers of decomposed surface hoar, facets, and depth hoar are in many locations. These layers have been stubborn to trigger underfoot but could be triggered by cornice failure or from shallow spot and release to ground.

Weather Forecast

Light scattered flurries for the next couple of days, increasing in intensity by the weekend, with amounts up to 10cm for Saturday. Winds light to moderate from the Southwest and freezing levels creeping up to treeline by Saturday. Cooler temperatures starting on Sunday.

Snowpack Summary

Weak crust on S through W aspects. Wind slab on lee aspects from previous SW winds and persistent slab in open areas at tree line. Poor travel conditions below tree line due to weak facetted snowpack. The Jan 28 SH/FC layer down 40-80cm remains a concern but is sporadically distributed.

Avalanche Summary

Several reports of remotely triggered slab avalanches in the alpine in wind loaded areas up to size 2 over the past 48 hours. These slides went on old snow and are especially prevalent in areas that have not seen skier traffic this winter.

Confidence

Regions covered