The southeast corner of the province is just a step behind interior regions, which are experiencing a sharp increase in large avalanches due to solar input and warming. A Special Public Avalanche Warning is in effect in this region.
Weather Forecast
Monday: A mix of sun and cloud with thicker valley cloud due to a building temperature inversion. Light south winds. Freezing level to around 2500 metres with alpine high temperatures of +2.Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. Strong southwest winds. Above freezing temperatures developing at all elevations with alpine temperatures dropping from about 0 to -2 over the day.Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. Moderate to strong southwest winds. Freezing level to about 1500 metres with alpine high temperatures to around -3.
Avalanche Summary
Recent report include observations of small loose dry and small thin wind slabs in the Size 1 to 1.5 range, and just maybe to Size 2.
Snowpack Summary
An unstable weak layer from mid-December (predominantly feathery surface hoar crystals and/or a sun crust) is found at treeline and below treeline elevations. Slabs can fail easily on this layer, either naturally or with the weight of a person or machine. Forecasted warm air temperatures could increase slab properties of the overlying snow and make this layer easier to trigger.The snowpack is variable across the region, but persistent slabs are generally a widespread problem. Wind slab and storm slab distribution will be more variable. New wind slabs can be found in parts of the region due to recent southwest winds. Windward alpine slopes may be scoured; and variable wind slabs are found at treeline and alpine elevations. New snow is likely to fail as storm slabs and/or loose avalanches.Deeper in the snowpack, an early-season rain crust and sugary facets exist. An avalanche in motion could step down to these deeper layers, creating a large and destructive avalanche. Overall snowpack depths are variable across the region. It is generally shallower in the east.
Problems
Persistent Slabs
Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.
Wind Slabs
Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.