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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Nov 29th, 2012–Nov 30th, 2012

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Looks like snow is coming in the next while. The amounts are uncertain right now. The hazard will increase as the weather system plays out. Keep an eye out for rapidly changing conditions.

Confidence

Fair - Intensity of incoming weather is uncertain on Friday

Weather Forecast

Intermittent precip tomorrow throughout the day. Amounts are uncertain, up to 10 is possible in the higher elevation. Winds will be moderate to strong and shifting from the S to SW. Temperatures will rise at first, but then cool down as the day goes on.

Avalanche Summary

No new observations

Snowpack Summary

Yesterday's SH appears to be breaking down in specific locations. Windslabs still a concern in the upper snow pack. A variety of crusts near the bottom starting to breakdown in places. The Nov crust remains a significant concern at the moment.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.