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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 9th, 2012–Feb 10th, 2012

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

May be a dusting of new snow over the next 24hrs but not much is expected. Still finding good skiing on N aspects. Stability det'r on solar aspects quickly during the day so start early.

Confidence

Good - -1

Weather Forecast

Dusting of new snow over the next 24hrs possible. Emphasis on Dusting. Winds will remain light to moderate out of the SW. Freezing levels forecast to be around 1900m.

Avalanche Summary

A few sz 1 slides out of steep rocky terrain related to daytime heating.

Snowpack Summary

SH continues to grow up to size 5mm in Alpine terrain. Moist snow on solar aspects as high as 2800m by 12:00. MFC up to 3cm thick on the solar aspects but still finding dry powder snow on the north aspects.

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.