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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 15th, 2012–Apr 16th, 2012

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Start early to beat the heat! Stability rapidly deteriorates when the sun comes out so get out the door early and get home early so you can avoid being out when stability is poor. Sunscreen and skin wax are essential!

Confidence

Good - Freezing levels are uncertain

Weather Forecast

The ridge will begin to break down on Monday as a weak pacific frontal system begins to push into the region. Alpine temps will remain cooler and freezing levels will be around 1900-2000m. Winds will continue in the light range out of the sw. No major precipitation is expected with this system until late in the day on Monday when we may see a few cm of snow fall. The sun will likely poke through the clouds a few times on Monday so watch for rapid decreases in stability when it does come out.

Avalanche Summary

Loose dry and loose wet sluffing up to size 1.5 on all aspects.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 30cm recent HST at treeline and above. Isolated soft slabs in high alpine and isolated treeline features. HST settling rapidly. Moist snow on all aspects below 2300m. April 11th temperature crust down 20-30cm and supportive in areas traveled. Over 300cm of HS at 2400m in the Murray Moraines area.

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.