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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 30th, 2018–Mar 31st, 2018

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

High winds and new snow are keeping the hazard consistent. In addition to our 3 main problems, there may be a loose dry issue tomorrow as the cold new snow sluffs off the harder layers beneath.

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

This upslope storm will taper, but flurries will continue overnight giving 7cm. Winds will gust to 45 km/hr from the northeast. -20C is the forecasted low for tonight!! Tomorrow will be a sun/cloud mix with a high of 012.

Avalanche Summary

A 2.5 loose dry out of steep alpine terrain mid afternoon.

Snowpack Summary

10cm new snow in the last 24 hours with moderate to strong variable winds. Fresh wind slabs on all aspects in alpine terrain, but only east aspects at treeline. Valley bottom has a new widespread crust from yesterday, which will likely be buried by tomorrow. This new crust is also present on solar aspects up to 2300m. Expect new snow to not stick very well at first.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.